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Severe pancreatitis prediction model construction method based on machine learning method

A prediction model and machine learning technology, applied in the field of disease diagnosis, can solve the problems of high workload of doctors, subjective bias, general repeatability, etc., and achieve the effect of fast prediction speed, resolution of diagnosis lag, and high accuracy

Active Publication Date: 2022-03-04
川北医学院附属医院 +1
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AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

[0002] Existing scoring systems for severe pancreatitis include acute physiology and chronic health assessment, or predict the severity of acute pancreatitis (AP) based on a single or a small number of laboratory indicators. Existing laboratory technology scoring systems such as acute physiology and chronic health assessment Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE II), Bedside Index for Severity in Acute Pancreatitis (BISAP) and other evaluation indicators are cumbersome, and physicians have high work pressure and subjective evaluation
In addition, it takes >48h or even 72h after the onset to further determine the severity of AP, which leads to a serious delay in the treatment and diagnosis of the disease and affects the best time for treatment; moreover, the data of multiple laboratory diagnostic techniques obtained by different medical centers and laboratories need to rely on clinical Physician's interpretation has the defects of general repeatability and subjective bias

Method used

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  • Severe pancreatitis prediction model construction method based on machine learning method
  • Severe pancreatitis prediction model construction method based on machine learning method
  • Severe pancreatitis prediction model construction method based on machine learning method

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Embodiment

[0050] Such as Figure 1-Figure 2 As shown, a method for constructing a severe pancreatitis prediction model based on machine learning methods, the construction steps are as follows:

[0051] S1. Obtain the discharge diagnosis result and clinical relevant data of the predicted object, and preprocess the obtained data;

[0052] S2. Screen the preprocessed data and bin the data, and combine the binned data with the unbinned data;

[0053] S3. Establish multiple severe pancreatitis prediction models based on binned data and unbinned data and compare them to select an excellent model, and construct a predictive receiver operating characteristic curve;

[0054] S4. Pre-train the selected model and screen the 10 feature indicators with the largest contribution to the model, and use the 10 feature indicators with the largest contribution to the model screened by the pre-trained model to perform retraining;

[0055] S5. Confirm the threshold value range for evaluating severe pancrea...

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Abstract

The invention discloses a severe pancreatitis prediction model construction method based on a machine learning method, and the method comprises the following steps: obtaining clinical and laboratory index related data of a prediction object, and carrying out the preprocessing of the obtained data; removing missing or slightly-changed indexes; carrying out data binning; screening a severe pancreatitis data prediction model; pre-training the selected model; screening and determining characteristic indexes associated with 10 severe pancreatitis according to a pre-training result, and training again; according to the working characteristic curve of the subject, a threshold value suitable for a prediction algorithm is determined, and then a final severe pancreatitis data prediction model is obtained. The non-invasive severe pancreatitis diagnosis model based on multiple clinical indexes solves the problem of diagnosis lag, is high in prediction speed and high in accuracy, and can provide reference for clinical diagnosis of severe pancreatitis.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the field of disease diagnosis, in particular to a method for constructing a prediction model of severe pancreatitis based on a machine learning method. Background technique [0002] Existing scoring systems for severe pancreatitis include acute physiology and chronic health assessment, or predict the severity of acute pancreatitis (AP) based on a single or a small number of laboratory indicators. Existing laboratory technology scoring systems such as acute physiology and chronic health assessment Evaluation indicators such as Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE II) and Bedside Index for Severity in Acute Pancreatitis (BISAP) are cumbersome, and physicians have a lot of work pressure and subjective evaluation. In addition, it takes >48h or even 72h after the onset to further determine the severity of AP, which leads to a serious delay in the treatment and diagnosis of the disease and affects the best time ...

Claims

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Applications(China)
IPC IPC(8): G16H50/20G16H50/70
CPCG16H50/20G16H50/70Y02A90/10
Inventor 肖波何汶静祝元仲魏佳苡汪刘赵艳梅
Owner 川北医学院附属医院
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