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A method for predicting and analyzing the epidemic risk of infectious diseases

A risk prediction and analysis method technology, applied in the field of infectious disease epidemic risk prediction and analysis, can solve the problems of identifying the source of infectious diseases and predicting the epidemic risk, and the different transmission modes of infectious diseases, so as to simplify the model construction process, high prediction accuracy, good predictive effect

Active Publication Date: 2022-05-31
HARBIN UNIV
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Problems solved by technology

At present, my country's control measures for emerging infectious diseases are mainly to control confirmed cases and isolate contacted or susceptible people at the same time. It is very difficult to determine the source of the disease and predict the epidemic risk

Method used

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  • A method for predicting and analyzing the epidemic risk of infectious diseases
  • A method for predicting and analyzing the epidemic risk of infectious diseases
  • A method for predicting and analyzing the epidemic risk of infectious diseases

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Embodiment Construction

[0066] A kind of infectious disease epidemic risk prediction analysis method of the present invention mainly comprises the following steps:

[0067] Step 1. Information collection:

[0068] S101. Classification of infectious diseases

[0069] According to the clinical detection data of patients with infectious diseases, the conditions of the patients can be divided into three conditions: mild, severe and death. According to this situation, the present invention sets the level of infectious diseases as mild, severe and death.

[0070] S102. Obtain all infectious disease data and personal data of infectious disease patients from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and classify and store all data in the database according to the classification of infectious diseases; among them, infectious disease data mainly include: infectious disease medically defined Name, date of first diagnosis, name of confirmed institution, time of diagnosis, diagnosis report, cause of onset,...

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Abstract

An infectious disease epidemic risk prediction analysis method belongs to the technical field of infectious disease risk prediction, through information collection, using TF‑IDF algorithm to realize text feature vectorization processing, constructing an infectious disease epidemic risk prediction model, and using Savitzy‑Golay algorithm to realize model optimization Treatment, risk prediction, risk early warning and other steps to realize the risk prediction and early warning analysis of the infectious disease process. For the first time, the TF-IDF algorithm is used to process the text feature vectorization of various data, unify the digital vectors of various data, simplify the subsequent model construction, provide more accurate basic data for optimized model processing, and improve the accuracy of model prediction. For the first time, the Savitzy-Golay algorithm is used to optimize the model, and the model is smoothed and filtered to reduce the interference of the error rate in the model, to ensure that the model will not undergo slight changes in data calculation and detection, and to improve the prediction accuracy of the model.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention belongs to the technical field of infectious disease risk prediction, and in particular relates to an infectious disease epidemic risk prediction and analysis method. Background technique [0002] Infectious diseases are a class of diseases caused by various pathogens that can be transmitted between humans, animals and animals or between humans and animals. At present, my country's control measures for emerging infectious diseases are mainly to control confirmed cases and isolate contact or susceptible people. However, different infectious diseases have different modes of infection, and potential high-risk groups are widely distributed. It is very difficult to determine the etiology of the disease and predict the epidemic risk. Therefore, effective prevention and control of infectious diseases is very necessary to prevent the occurrence of mass morbidity in a short period of time. SUMMARY OF THE INVENTION [0003] The purpose of the pr...

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Patents(China)
IPC IPC(8): G16H10/60G16H50/30G16H50/70G16H50/80G06K9/62
CPCG16H50/80G16H50/30G16H50/70G16H10/60G06F18/214G06F18/24323Y02A90/10
Inventor 朱莉丛二勇李欣
Owner HARBIN UNIV
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