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Epidemiological prediction method, computer device, and computer readable storage medium

A prediction method and epidemic technology, applied in the field of disease prediction, can solve problems such as long time, and achieve the effect of avoiding time, efficient and rapid epidemic prediction

Active Publication Date: 2018-10-09
PING AN TECH (SHENZHEN) CO LTD
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  • Summary
  • Abstract
  • Description
  • Claims
  • Application Information

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Problems solved by technology

However, the time required for parameter adjustment is longer

Method used

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  • Epidemiological prediction method, computer device, and computer readable storage medium
  • Epidemiological prediction method, computer device, and computer readable storage medium
  • Epidemiological prediction method, computer device, and computer readable storage medium

Examples

Experimental program
Comparison scheme
Effect test

Embodiment 1

[0046] figure 1 It is a flowchart of the epidemic prediction method provided by Embodiment 1 of the present invention. The epidemic prediction method is applied to a computer device. The epidemic prediction method can calculate the probability that each epidemic monitoring data corresponding time point in the time series data of epidemic monitoring belongs to the epidemic season / non-epidemic season turning point, and determine the epidemic season / non-epidemic season turning point according to the probability, and determine The type of turning point of each epidemic season / non-epidemic season, thus dividing the epidemic season and the non-epidemic season.

[0047] Such as figure 1 As shown, the epidemic prediction method specifically includes the following steps:

[0048] Step 101, acquiring time series data of epidemiological surveillance.

[0049] An epidemiological monitoring network composed of multiple monitoring points can be established in a preset area (such as a pr...

Embodiment 2

[0098] figure 2 The structural diagram of the epidemic prediction device provided by Embodiment 2 of the present invention.

[0099] Such as figure 2 As shown, the epidemic prediction device 10 may include: an acquisition unit 201 , a calculation unit 202 , a first determination unit 203 , a screening unit 204 , and a second determination unit 205 .

[0100] The acquiring unit 201 is configured to acquire time series data of epidemiological monitoring.

[0101] An epidemiological monitoring network composed of multiple monitoring points can be established in a preset area (such as a province, city, region), from which the epidemiological monitoring data is obtained, and the epidemiological monitoring data constitute the epidemiological monitoring network. time series data. Medical institutions, schools, childcare institutions, pharmacies, etc. can be selected as monitoring points to carry out epidemiological monitoring and data collection for the corresponding target grou...

Embodiment 3

[0150] image 3 It is a schematic diagram of a computer device provided by Embodiment 3 of the present invention. The computer device 1 includes a memory 20 , a processor 30 and a computer program 40 stored in the memory 20 and executable on the processor 30 , such as an epidemic prediction program. When the processor 30 executes the computer program 40, it realizes the steps in the above embodiment of the epidemic prediction method, for example figure 1 Steps 101-105 shown:

[0151] Step 101, obtaining time series data of epidemiological monitoring;

[0152] Step 102, calculating the probability that each time point corresponding to the epidemic monitoring data in the time series data belongs to the turning point of the epidemic season / non-epidemic season, and obtains a set of probability sequences;

[0153] Step 103, determining the probability peak in the probability sequence to obtain the probability peak sequence;

[0154] Step 104, screening the probability peaks in ...

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Abstract

The invention provides an epidemiological prediction method, which comprises the steps of acquiring time sequence data of epidemiological monitoring; calculating the probability of time point corresponding to each epidemiological monitoring data in the time sequence data belonging to a popular season / a non-popular season turning point, and obtaining a set of probability sequences; determining theprobability peak value in the probability sequence, and obtaining a probability peak value sequence; screening the probability peak value in the probability peak value sequence, and obtaining the popular season / non-popular season turning point of the time sequence data according to the screened probability peak value; determining the types of each popular season / non-popular season turning point, wherein the types comprise a rising turning point and a descending turning point; the rising turning point is the starting point of the epidemiological popular season, and the descending turning pointis the ending point of the epidemiological popular season. The invention further provides a computer device and a readable storage medium. According to the invention, efficient and rapid epidemiological prediction can be realized.

Description

technical field [0001] The present invention relates to the technical field of disease prediction, in particular to an epidemic prediction method, a computer device and a computer-readable storage medium. Background technique [0002] With the changes of the social and natural environment, the pathogens, transmission routes, disease characteristics and influencing factors of epidemics have also undergone great changes. How to identify public health emergencies of epidemics early, issue early warnings in time, and take corresponding controls as soon as possible Measures to minimize the losses caused by public health emergencies have been the focus of attention in the field of public health for a long time, and are also an important part of health emergency work. The early warning of public health emergencies is to monitor, identify, diagnose and evaluate the signs of events through the collection, sorting, analysis and integration of relevant data, using modern and advanced t...

Claims

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Applications(China)
IPC IPC(8): G16H50/80
CPCG16H50/80G16H50/70
Inventor 阮晓雯徐亮肖京
Owner PING AN TECH (SHENZHEN) CO LTD
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