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Airport arrival rate prediction method and device

An airport and forecasting model technology, applied in the field of airport arrival rate forecasting, can solve problems such as the inability to directly obtain the impact of weather on flights

Active Publication Date: 2017-02-15
INST OF RADAR & ELECTRONICS CONFRONTATION ARMY AIR FORCE EQUIP RES INST OF PLA
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  • Summary
  • Abstract
  • Description
  • Claims
  • Application Information

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

[0003] In view of this, the purpose of the embodiments of the present invention is to provide an airport arrival rate prediction method and device to solve the problem that decision makers cannot directly obtain the impact of weather on flight operations in air traffic management decision-making.

Method used

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  • Airport arrival rate prediction method and device

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no. 1 example

[0038] see figure 2 , the embodiment of the present invention provides an airport arrival rate prediction method. This embodiment describes the processing flow for the environment and traffic data of a selected area within a preset time period. The method includes:

[0039] Step S210: Obtain the environmental data of the selected area within the preset time period and the actual airport arrival rate data corresponding to the preset time period;

[0040]Based on step S210, regarding the selection principle of the selected area, preferably, a regional or national hub airport that is more frequently affected by weather is selected. It has a large traffic volume, has a great impact on surrounding areas, and is severely and frequently affected by weather, and has sufficient historical traffic data and weather data for analysis and research. It is difficult to obtain historical traffic data of domestic airports (some airports publish real-time arrival and departure information of ...

no. 2 example

[0084] see Figure 8 , the embodiment of the present invention provides an airport arrival rate prediction method. This embodiment describes the processing flow for the environment and traffic data of a selected area within a preset time period. The method includes:

[0085] Step S310: Obtain the environmental data of the selected area within the preset time period and the actual airport arrival rate data corresponding to the preset time period;

[0086] Step S320: Convert the environmental data into environmental attribute data based on the environmental data and preset data attribute extraction rules, the environmental attribute data includes environmental attribute training data, and the actual airport arrival rate data includes the first actual airport arrival rate data. airport arrival rate;

[0087] Step S330: Based on the arrival rate of the first actual airport and the preset classification threshold rule, obtain the classification data of the arrival rate of the firs...

no. 3 example

[0101] see Figure 10 , Figure 10 It is a flow chart of the airport arrival rate prediction method provided by the third embodiment of the present invention. This embodiment describes the processing flow for the environment and traffic data of the selected area within a preset time period. The method includes:

[0102] Step S310: Obtain the environmental data of the selected area within the preset time period and the actual airport arrival rate data corresponding to the preset time period;

[0103] Step S320: Convert the environmental data into environmental attribute data based on the environmental data and preset data attribute extraction rules, the environmental attribute data includes environmental attribute training data, and the actual airport arrival rate data includes the first actual airport arrival rate data. airport arrival rate;

[0104] Step S330: Based on the arrival rate of the first actual airport and the preset classification threshold rule, obtain the clas...

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Abstract

The embodiment of the invention provides an airport arrival rate prediction method and device, and belongs to the technical field of air traffic flow management. The method includes the steps of obtaining environmental data of a selected area in a preset time period and actual airport arrival rate data corresponding to the preset time period; the environmental data is converted into environmental attribute data, the environmental attribute data includes environmental attribute training data, and the actual airport arrival rate data includes a first actual airport arrival rate; Obtaining first actual airport arrival rate classification data based on the first actual airport arrival rate and a preset classification threshold rule; establishing an airport arrival rate prediction model based on the preset time period, the environmental attribute training data, the first actual airport arrival rate classification data and a regression algorithm; and calculating a first predicted airport arrival rate of the selected area based on an airport arrival rate prediction model. The method predicts the airport arrival rate by establishing the airport arrival rate prediction model, and can provide suggestions for air traffic decision makers.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the technical field of air traffic flow management, in particular to a method and device for forecasting an airport arrival rate. Background technique [0002] With the continuous increase of aviation business, the flight flow in the limited civil aviation area is increasing day by day, and the airspace resources are becoming increasingly tight, which makes the airspace system more susceptible to the influence of weather. The atmospheric environment is changing rapidly, and the impact of weather on flight operations runs through all stages of flight, from low visibility, ground wind, and low clouds when taking off and landing at the airport to icing, rapids, etc. during the enroute flight stage, which leads to an increase in flight distance , the capacity reduction of airports and airspace, and flight delays may even lead to safety accidents, which reduce the operating efficiency of the airspace system to a considerable extent ...

Claims

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/04G06Q50/30
CPCG06Q10/04G06Q50/40
Inventor 朱永文王长春李海峰唐治理付莹李静周臣
Owner INST OF RADAR & ELECTRONICS CONFRONTATION ARMY AIR FORCE EQUIP RES INST OF PLA
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