Energy hub optimizing model taking wind power nondeterminacy into consideration and including power to gas and CCHP
A technology of uncertainty and optimization model, applied in the field of multi-energy utilization, can solve problems such as energy hub model not introduced
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[0009] The present invention comprises the following steps:
[0010] 1. Uncertainty of wind power output
[0011] Due to the characteristics of randomness, intermittency and poor controllability of wind energy, as well as the limitations of existing wind power forecasting methods, errors in wind power forecasting are inevitable. Overall, the forecast error presents a certain probability distribution characteristic. There are many studies on the distribution of wind power forecast error, among which the normal distribution assumption is the most widely used. The present invention selects the normal distribution model to study the wind power prediction error, and uses the error interval to describe the uncertainty of wind power (such as figure 1 ). The wind power prediction curve may be any curve in the shaded interval. For each period, the closer to the central value, the greater the probability of occurrence. The present invention selects a wind power prediction curve in th...
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