Ultra-short-term photovoltaic generation power prediction method based on autoregression moving average model
A technology of photovoltaic power generation and autoregressive sliding, which is applied in forecasting, instrumentation, data processing applications, etc., and can solve the problems of photovoltaic power generation uncertainty, uncontrollable power grid security, stability and economic operation, etc.
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[0054] The preferred embodiments of the present invention will be described below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings. It should be understood that the preferred embodiments described here are only used to illustrate and explain the present invention, and are not intended to limit the present invention.
[0055] An ultra-short-term prediction method for photovoltaic power generation based on an autoregressive moving average model, including inputting data to obtain autoregressive moving average model parameters;
[0056] Input the input data required for photovoltaic electric power prediction into the autoregressive moving average model determined according to the parameters of the above-mentioned autoregressive moving average model to obtain the prediction result.
[0057] The operation of power systems including large-scale photovoltaic power generation relies on huge and accurate data sets, and if the photovoltaic power generation prediction can effectively integra...
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