Method for evaluating reliability of large power grid comprising wind power station
A technology for large power grids and wind farms, which is applied in the field of reliability assessment of large power grids, and can solve the influence of reliability reliability of large power grids, uneven distribution in time and space, and the inability of large power grid reliability evaluation models and index systems to meet the requirements. requirements, etc.
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[0083] The present invention will be further described below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings and specific embodiments.
[0084] The invention mainly proposes a method for evaluating the reliability of a large power grid including a wind farm. The specific steps of this evaluation method are as follows: figure 1 As shown, the specific steps of the method are as follows:
[0085] Step 1: Establish a time-series power output model of the wind farm;
[0086] Such as figure 2 Shown is the flowchart of the establishment method of the time series power output model of the wind farm, and the specific steps are as follows:
[0087] 11) Enter the basic parameter data of the wind turbine; the basic parameter data includes the failure rate and repair rate of the wind turbine, the number of wind turbines in the wind farm, and the number of years of simulation;
[0088] 12) Count a large amount of historical wind speed data, establish an ARMA wind speed prediction model, ...
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