Technology development stage judgment method and system based on adaptive similarity measurement

Abstract

The invention provides a technology development stage judgment method and system based on adaptive similarity measurement, and the method comprises the steps: segmenting an Adaner curve, and defining a plurality of technology development stages; searching technical keywords in a preset data set, generating time sequence data representing that the quantity of the science and technology data corresponding to the technical keywords changes along with time, and preprocessing the time sequence data; carrying out sub-sequence division on the preprocessed time sequence data based on a preset detail resolution, connecting all sub-sequences to generate a main sequence, and converting the main sequence into a triple form; performing similarity measurement on the main sequence and a curve representing each technology development stage through dynamic time warping; and judging the technology development stage with the highest similarity degree as the development stage of the technology. According to the method, multi-scale judgment is carried out on the technology development stage on the basis of the maturity curve and similarity measurement of the Adaner technology, and the accuracy, applicability and scientificity of judgment on the technology development stage are improved.

Description

technical field [0001] The present application relates to the technical field of information processing, and in particular, to a method and system for judging a technology development stage based on an adaptive similarity measure. Background technique [0002] With the development of science and technology, scientific and technological strategic research has been paid more and more attention by people, and it is of great practical significance to evaluate science and technology in different fields. At present, the evaluation method of science and technology has changed from the traditional qualitative analysis method to the quantitative analysis, qualitative and quantitative analysis method. The technical development status of a specific field. This type of method is highly dependent on expert knowledge and needs to be judged based on experience. Although the domain authority and professionalism of the analysis results can be guaranteed, the objectivity, consistency and comp...

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Problems solved by technology

[0004] However, the generation of Hype Cycle needs to rely on a large number of experts and domain knowledge. When facing different application scenarios in practical applications, it is difficult to apply this method to grasp the process of technological development and realize the individuality of technology maturity, technology development stage and even the entire field. Moreover, due to the different time scales of technology development cycles in different fields, the Hype Cycle-based technology development stage evaluation methods in related technologies are less scientific, objective and accurate.

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