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Energy power industry chain risk early warning method and system based on spot market model

A technology of risk early warning and industrial chain, applied in the field of risk early warning of the energy and power industry chain based on the spot market model, it can solve the problems of not considering the impact, low accuracy, and incomplete risk early warning methods, so as to improve the effectiveness and accuracy. , the overall effect of early warning methods

Pending Publication Date: 2022-02-25
GUANGDONG POWER GRID CO LTD +1
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Problems solved by technology

[0004] The purpose of the present invention is to provide a risk early warning method and system for the energy and power industry chain based on the spot market model, so as to solve the problem that the influence of the spot market price of power on the energy and power industry chain is not considered in the prior art, which leads to an incomplete risk warning method , the problem of low accuracy

Method used

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  • Energy power industry chain risk early warning method and system based on spot market model
  • Energy power industry chain risk early warning method and system based on spot market model
  • Energy power industry chain risk early warning method and system based on spot market model

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Embodiment Construction

[0045] The following will clearly and completely describe the technical solutions in the embodiments of the present invention with reference to the accompanying drawings in the embodiments of the present invention. Obviously, the described embodiments are only some, not all, embodiments of the present invention. Based on the embodiments of the present invention, all other embodiments obtained by persons of ordinary skill in the art without creative efforts fall within the protection scope of the present invention.

[0046] It should be understood that the step numbers used herein are only for convenience of description, and are not intended to limit the execution order of the steps.

[0047] It should be understood that the terminology used in the description of the present invention is for the purpose of describing particular embodiments only and is not intended to limit the present invention. As used in this specification and the appended claims, the singular forms "a", "an"...

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Abstract

The invention discloses an energy power industry chain risk early warning method and system based on a spot market model. The method comprises the following steps: determining a price factor of a spot market; constructing a function relational expression between the price factor and the spot price; according to the function relation, calculating a spot market price risk; determining a spot market price risk threshold; determining a relationship between the spot market price risk and a spot market price risk threshold to determine a risk early warning level and generating an early warning result. According to the invention, the price risk of the spot market is predicted by integrating the whole link information of the energy industry chain, such as primary energy supply, electric energy production, transmission, transaction, consumption and the like, and the price risk of the spot market is subjected to numerical measurement, so that the early warning of the risk of the energy industry chain is realized on the basis. Therefore, the energy power industry chain risk early warning method is more comprehensive, and the effectiveness and accuracy of the method are improved.

Description

technical field [0001] The present invention relates to the technical field of energy and electric power industry chains, in particular to a risk warning method and system for energy and electric power industry chains based on a spot market model. Background technique [0002] The energy and power industry chain takes the power industry as the core link, covering the entire link chain of primary energy supply, electric energy production, transmission, transaction and consumption. Primary energy supply, bidding behavior of power generation companies, line congestion during power grid operation, and market supply and demand will all affect the spot market price of electricity. , The embodiment of the transmission of risks in the production, transmission and trading of electric energy to the electricity consumption of end users. [0003] At present, my country's electricity spot market is still in its infancy, and there are few studies on the risk transmission and early warnin...

Claims

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/06G06Q30/02G06Q50/06
CPCG06Q10/0635G06Q30/0206G06Q50/06
Inventor 赵越吴国炳刘思捷白杨蔡秋娜陈中飞
Owner GUANGDONG POWER GRID CO LTD
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