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Method for preliminary evaluation and prediction on earthquake casualty

A forecasting method and number of people technology, applied in forecasting, data processing applications, calculations, etc., can solve the problem of no casualty assessment and other problems, and achieve the effects of high practical value, fast and easy acquisition, and fast and easy error rate.

Inactive Publication Date: 2016-07-27
郑静晨 +3
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  • Abstract
  • Description
  • Claims
  • Application Information

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Problems solved by technology

[0012] This invention is mainly to simulate the damage of houses and the impact of the disaster area in the real earthquake disaster site, without evaluating the casualties

Method used

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  • Method for preliminary evaluation and prediction on earthquake casualty
  • Method for preliminary evaluation and prediction on earthquake casualty
  • Method for preliminary evaluation and prediction on earthquake casualty

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Embodiment Construction

[0067] Specific embodiments of the present invention will be described below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings.

[0068] A preliminary assessment and prediction method of earthquake casualties based on geographical similarity can accurately predict the casualties in the first time after the earthquake, and provide a strong basis for the government's earthquake relief.

[0069] In order to achieve the above object, the method for preliminary assessment and prediction of earthquake casualties disclosed by the present invention includes the following steps:

[0070] Step 1: According to the similarity of terrain, earthquake depth and other factors between provinces and regions, model and evaluate different provinces, and use historical data of earthquake disasters to analyze the main factors affecting earthquake casualties.

[0071] The main factors include: magnitude, intensity, time of earthquake, population density and other parameters that can be quickly and accur...

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Abstract

The invention discloses a preliminary assessment and prediction method for earthquake casualties, which specifically includes the following steps: 1) analyzing the main factors affecting the earthquake casualties; 2) determining the relationship between the influencing factors and the casualties; 3) according to the determined function Relationships are modeled. Compared with other models, the error rate of the model of the present invention is smaller, indicating that the model of the present invention has higher accuracy and practical reference.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to a method for preliminary assessment and prediction of earthquake casualties. Background technique [0002] Destructive earthquakes often bring huge loss of life and property to human beings. Compared with economic losses, casualties caused by earthquakes have a far-reaching and heavy impact on the entire society. The on-site investigation and evaluation results of casualties are an important basis for the government to carry out earthquake relief and formulate reconstruction plans. However, within 1-3 days after the strong earthquake, due to the interruption or paralysis of traffic, power, and communication, it is difficult for researchers to quickly conduct detailed disaster investigation and scientific assessment, which cannot meet the requirements of the earthquake relief headquarters to make emergency rescue decisions. need. Therefore, it is necessary to study a rapid assessment method for earthquake casualties, so that t...

Claims

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Applications(China)
IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/04
Inventor 郑静晨李明李晓雪郝昱文
Owner 郑静晨
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