Method for predicting influence of heavy passenger flow of urban rail transit network
A technology of urban rail transit and prediction method, which is applied in the field of large passenger flow impact and emergency response, and can solve the problems of lack of analysis and prediction methods for the impact of time and space propagation and diffusion
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[0076] Specific example: Forecasting the impact of large passenger flow on rail transit network during the 2010 Shanghai World Expo
[0077] (1) Implementation background
[0078] Shanghai will host the World Expo in 2010. According to relevant forecasts, the total number of visitors during the Shanghai World Expo will exceed 70 million, with an average daily visitor flow of 400,000, a peak day of 600,000, and an extreme peak day of more than 800,000. , When the maximum passenger flow out of the park reaches 200,000 person-times / hour. At that time, a large number of passengers flowed into the rail transit South Xizang Road Station, Madang Road Station, Yuntai Road Station and Yaohua Road Station near the Expo site in a short period of time, resulting in a large passenger flow incident. Due to the characteristics of large number of people, complex flow of people, high mobility and other uncertain factors, large passenger flow events face greater traffic pressure on the transp...
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