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Failure prediction method based on ICA reconstruction

A technology of fault prediction and fault direction, which is applied in the testing of machines/structural components, measuring devices, and measuring ultrasonic/sonic/infrasonic waves, etc., can solve the problem of few results, reduce the rate of false alarms and missed alarms, and improve The effect of forecast accuracy

Active Publication Date: 2012-07-04
BEIJING INFORMATION SCI & TECH UNIV
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AI Technical Summary

Benefits of technology

This technology helps solve problems by taking advantage of multiple dimensions for accurate predictions while also considering different types of noise sources such as bouncing or other movements caused during exercise activities. It uses both linear regression analysis (LSA) methods and nonlinear filtering techniques like wavelets to improve its performance over time without making it more complicated than usual.

Problems solved by technology

This patents discusses the problem of detecting and diagnosing critical systems like rotational machines during their manufacture without causing any harm caused by external causes like machine malfunctions or incorrect maintenance procedures. Traditional approaches involve taking measurements from these sources and analyzing them manually overall, but this approach requires significant human resources and takes longer than necessary before identifying potential issues. There is currently no efficient way to accurately identify key components involved in critical operations while avoiding unnecessary inspections.

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  • Failure prediction method based on ICA reconstruction
  • Failure prediction method based on ICA reconstruction
  • Failure prediction method based on ICA reconstruction

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Embodiment Construction

[0032] The fault prediction method provided by the invention is based on figure 1 To proceed, follow the steps below:

[0033] Step 1), using historical normal process data X to establish an independent meta-analysis model, which describes the relationship between different locations and different types of sensors;

[0034] Step 2), select the relatively stable historical fault data X that has occurred before fault , to extract the fault direction matrix Ξ.

[0035] Step 3), according to the real-time measurement sample of sensor, detect the fault that occurs in the process;

[0036] Step 4), use the known fault direction Ξ to identify the fault, and further estimate the magnitude of the fault.

[0037] Step 5), modeling and predicting the obtained fault amplitude using a support vector machine (SVM) and an autoregressive (AR) model.

[0038] Step 1) includes:

[0039] Step 10), standardize and whiten the historical normal data, and assume that the number of variables is ...

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Abstract

The invention discloses a failure prediction method based on ICA reconstruction, which includes the following steps: step 1, calculating a separative matrix W; step 2, calculating the statistic value I<2>(k), SPE(k) or I<2>e(k) of the real-time data Xnew(k) through adopting the formulas I<2>(k)=S'newd(k)<T> S'newd(k), I<2>e=S'newe(k)<T>*S'newe(k), SPE(k)=(xnew(k)-x'new(k))<T>*(xnew(k)-x'new(k)), S'newd(k)=Wd*xnew(k), and S'newe(k)=We*xnew(k), wherein Wd refers to the matrix formed by the lines expect the first d lines of the separative matrix W, We refers to the matrix formed by the lines except the first d lines of the separative matrix W, and X'new(k)=Q<-1>BdWd*xnew(k), Bd=(WdQ<-1>)<T>, Be=(WeQ<-1>)<T>, and Q refers to a whitening matrix; and step 3, calculating the nuclear density of I<2>(k), SPE(k) or I<2>e(k), and detecting failures as per the control limit. The method provided by the invention solves the problem that the traditional flue gas turbine prediction method can not utilize the multidimensional valid data, takes the multi-channel vibration data into consideration, can be used for directly predicating failures, and improves the prediction accuracy compared with the PCA reconstruction method.

Description

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Claims

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Application Information

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Owner BEIJING INFORMATION SCI & TECH UNIV
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