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Prediction method and early warning system for traffic and tourism in scenic spots

A prediction method and technology of scenic spots, applied in traffic control systems, traffic control systems of road vehicles, traffic flow detection, etc., can solve problems such as lack of understanding of real-time status, tourism facilities exceeding the carrying capacity, and affecting the quality of tourists' tourism, and improve the quality of tourism. The effect of tourism quality

Active Publication Date: 2020-08-18
TRANSPORT PLANNING & RES INST MINIST OF TRANSPORT
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AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

However, due to holidays, when tourists travel between multiple scenic spots when traveling in the same area, there will be sudden changes in traffic flow in each scenic spot, causing traffic jams and peak tourist flow in individual scenic spots.
At the same time, because tourists do not understand the real-time status of the traffic and tourist facilities in the scenic spot, the traffic flow and tourist facilities exceed the carrying capacity, which seriously affects the tourist quality of tourists.

Method used

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  • Prediction method and early warning system for traffic and tourism in scenic spots
  • Prediction method and early warning system for traffic and tourism in scenic spots
  • Prediction method and early warning system for traffic and tourism in scenic spots

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Embodiment Construction

[0052]In the following, only some exemplary embodiments are briefly described. As those skilled in the art would realize, the described embodiments may be modified in various different ways, all without departing from the spirit or scope of the present invention. Accordingly, the drawings and descriptions are to be regarded as illustrative in nature and not restrictive.

[0053] The first embodiment of the present invention is a method for predicting traffic and tourism in scenic spots. see figure 1 As shown, forecasting methods include:

[0054] Step S110: Using a time-varying parameter vector autoregressive model to analyze the correlation among scenic spots in the target area.

[0055] Step S120: Select at least one of the scenic spots as a reference scenic spot, and use the tourism data and traffic flow data of the reference scenic spot to construct the traffic and tourism index of the scenic spot for the reference scenic spot.

[0056] Step S130: Predict the traffic a...

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Abstract

The invention provides a scenic spot traffic and tourism prediction method and a scenic spot traffic and tourism early warning system. The method includes the following steps that: a time-varying parameter vector autoregressive model is adopted, and correlations between scenic spots in a target area are analyzed; at least one of the scenic spots is selected as a reference scenic spot, the tourismdata and traffic flow data of the reference scenic spot are utilized to construct the scenic spot traffic and tourism index of the reference scenic spot; and the correlations between the scenic spotsand the scenic spot traffic and tourism index predicted result of the reference scenic spot are adopted to predict the traffic and tourism indexes of the other scenic spots in the scenic spots. According to the method and system of the invention, tourism and traffic are combined; correlations and pulse response relationships between scenic spots and traffic are revealed on the basis of data; traffic tourism indexes are constructed and predicted; and the traffic volume change of the scenic spots can be monitored; the traffic and tourism information of the scenic spots can be provided for tourists; and the tourism quality of the tourists can be improved.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the field of transportation, in particular to a method for predicting traffic and tourism in a scenic spot and an early warning system. Background technique [0002] Tourism is an important strategic pillar industry of the national economy, and transportation is the basic support and prerequisite for the development of tourism. However, due to holidays, when tourists travel between multiple scenic spots when traveling in the same area, there will be traffic jams caused by sudden changes in traffic flow in each scenic spot and tourist peak passenger flow in individual scenic spots. At the same time, because tourists do not understand the real-time status of the traffic and tourist facilities in the scenic spot, the traffic flow and tourist facilities exceed the carrying capacity, which seriously affects the tourist quality of tourists. Contents of the invention [0003] The present invention provides a scenic spot traffic and...

Claims

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Patents(China)
IPC IPC(8): G08G1/01G06Q10/04G06Q50/14
CPCG06Q10/04G06Q50/14G08G1/0141
Inventor 王英平孙硕撒蕾徐志远顾明臣王致远
Owner TRANSPORT PLANNING & RES INST MINIST OF TRANSPORT
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