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Optimal decision method based on situation analysis and hierarchy analysis

A Hierarchical Analysis and Scenario Analysis technology, applied in data processing applications, forecasting, computing, etc., can solve problems such as failure to pass the consistency test, single-level single-ranking and total-ranking consistency effects

Active Publication Date: 2012-07-04
GRADUATE SCHOOL OF THE CHINESE ACAD OF SCI GSCAS +3
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Problems solved by technology

It will even affect the consistency of hierarchical single sorting and total sorting, making the consistency check fail

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  • Optimal decision method based on situation analysis and hierarchy analysis
  • Optimal decision method based on situation analysis and hierarchy analysis
  • Optimal decision method based on situation analysis and hierarchy analysis

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[0042] This implementation mode takes the prevention and control of environmental pollution of produced water in coalbed methane fields as an example to illustrate the optimal scenario integration selection method using the scenario simulation analysis method coupled with the analytic hierarchy process.

[0043]Certainly, as long as the control decision-making system is aimed at the situation, the optimal decision-making method based on the situation analysis and hierarchical analysis provided by the present invention can be used.

[0044] The main research area of ​​this subject is the Liulin Demonstration Project Area on the eastern edge of the Ordos Basin. The structural location of this area is the eastern edge of the Ordos area, on the west side of the north-south structural belt bordered by the Lvliangshan block uplift and the Ordos fault block. The Liulin Demonstration Project Area is located in the jurisdiction of Luliang City, Shanxi Province, in the middle of the Hedo...

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Abstract

The invention provides an optimal decision method based on situation analysis and hierarchy analysis. The optimal decision method based on situation analysis and hierarchy analysis comprises the following steps of: first, establishing a multi-decision target index system on the basis of a situation analysis method; dividing decision targets into quantitative decision targets and non-quantitative decision targets; if the total quantitative decision targets play a dominant role in the total decision targets, determining a representative situation according to different states and constraint conditions of a decision variable; determining the weight of each quantitative target; calculating optimization values of different situations; sequencing the situations from small optimization value to big optimization value; selecting a plurality of former situations as initial optimal situations; and then decomposing the initial optimal situations into different hierarchy structures according to a hierarchy analysis method in a sequence of the total decision target, each sub decision target and the initial optimal situation; constructing a pairwise-compared weight judging matrix according to expert evaluation suggestions; calculating characteristic vector and matrix consistency of the judging matrix; figuring out a situation weight characteristic vector and a corresponding target weight characteristic vector; and finally, selecting an optimal situation. The method provided by the invention is simple and practical in technical realization.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to an optimal decision-making method for determining an optimal scenario scheme, in particular to an optimal decision-making method based on scenario analysis and hierarchical analysis. Background technique [0002] Since many quantifiable and non-quantifiable goals and variables are involved in the process of management decision-making, many disciplines and different departments need to be considered. To achieve the maximization of some relatively important goals, other goals must also be considered. balance. Therefore, the decision-making process is very complicated. However, the current single decision support model at home and abroad has many deficiencies both in theory and in application. Development and utilization cannot be used as a scientific and reliable decision-making basis to guide the decision-making department to form the final decision. [0003] Scenario analysis, also known as scenario simulation analysis techn...

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Applications(China)
IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/04
Inventor 王明玉刘佳李致宇赵建辉于森琚宜文吴建光刘柯张中杰
Owner GRADUATE SCHOOL OF THE CHINESE ACAD OF SCI GSCAS
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